PoliticsKalshi
🚧
Government shutdown before October 1?
Any lapse in appropriations
Yes34%6.2
$6.0M vol2 outcomescloses in 2mo
Yes🏛
PoliticsPolymarket· closes in 3mo
Which party controls the House after the midterms?
Certified results, 435 seats
Volume
$41.2M
Liquidity
$4.5M
Traders
29,429
30-day probability — Democrats
Outcomes
Democrats57%
Republicans43%
Related markets
PoliticsPolymarket
🇬🇧
New UK general election called this year?
Dissolution of Parliament announced
Yes12%0.4
$1.2M vol2 outcomescloses in 5mo
YesPoliticsPolymarket
🕊
Ceasefire agreement signed before November?
Officially confirmed by both parties
Yes23%2.8
$9.9M vol2 outcomescloses in 3mo
Yes