Ceasefire agreement signed before November?

Officially confirmed by both parties

Volume

$9.9M

Liquidity

$1.1M

Traders

7,050

30-day probability — Yes

Yes23%

No77%

PoliticsPolymarket

🏛

Certified results, 435 seats

Democrats57%1.9

Republicans43%1.9

$41.2M vol2 outcomescloses in 3mo

PoliticsKalshi

🚧

Any lapse in appropriations

Yes34%6.2

$6.0M vol2 outcomescloses in 2mo

PoliticsPolymarket

🇬🇧

Dissolution of Parliament announced

Yes12%0.4

$1.2M vol2 outcomescloses in 5mo