Government shutdown before October 1?

Any lapse in appropriations

Volume

$6.0M

Liquidity

$666K

Traders

4,321

30-day probability — Yes

Yes34%

No66%

PoliticsPolymarket

🏛

Certified results, 435 seats

Democrats57%1.9

Republicans43%1.9

$41.2M vol2 outcomescloses in 3mo

PoliticsPolymarket

🇬🇧

Dissolution of Parliament announced

Yes12%0.4

$1.2M vol2 outcomescloses in 5mo

PoliticsPolymarket

🕊

Officially confirmed by both parties

Yes23%2.8

$9.9M vol2 outcomescloses in 3mo