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EconomyPolymarket· closes in 4mo

Another US bank fails before December?

FDIC receivership of an insured bank

Volume

$2.2M

Liquidity

$240K

Traders

1,557

30-day probability — Yes

Outcomes

Yes26%
No74%

Related markets

EconomyKalshi
🏛
Fed cuts rates at the September meeting?

Any cut of 25bps or more

Cut 25bps54%2.6
Cut 50bps13%1.1
No change33%3.7
$22.8M vol3 outcomescloses in 41d
Cut 25bps
EconomyKalshi
📈
US annual CPI print for July

Bureau of Labor Statistics headline figure

Above 3.4%47%2.1
3.3% – 3.4%33%1.4
Below 3.3%20%0.7
$4.3M vol3 outcomescloses in 6d
Above 3.4%