US annual CPI print for July

Bureau of Labor Statistics headline figure

Volume

$4.3M

Liquidity

$474K

Traders

3,079

30-day probability — Above 3.4%

Above 3.4%47%

3.3% – 3.4%33%

Below 3.3%20%

EconomyKalshi

🏛

Any cut of 25bps or more

Cut 25bps54%2.6

Cut 50bps13%1.1

No change33%3.7

$22.8M vol3 outcomescloses in 41d

EconomyKalshi

💼

Any monthly print in Oct–Dec

Yes38%0.8

$2.0M vol2 outcomescloses in 4mo

EconomyPolymarket

🛢

ICE Brent front-month settlement

Yes29%4.4

$2.5M vol2 outcomescloses in 2mo